Tag: uk-politics

  • Economists and immigration, ideologies, and motherhood

    Usual excuse about delayed posts, but I’ve been quite busy with interviews these last few weeks. I’ve also started working on a piece about how the UK systemically tries to remove the price incentive from far too much of the economy – once again looking like I’ve bitten off more than I can chew. Anyway, onto the links:

    https://www.notonyourteam.co.uk/p/individualism-and-cooperation-iii

    • The third piece in an interesting series examining the ability of societies to absorb immigrants, the formation of liberal individualism vs kin-groups, and finally, this piece, which focuses on how economists consistently refuse to treat immigration as a cultural issue as much as an economic one.
      > So, part of the immigrant absorption issue—how successfully for the citizenry, and the successful functioning of its institutions, a given society absorbs immigrants—is how congruent the cultures of immigrants are with the norms and rules of local institutions. One way to enable such congruence is to have lots of small groups of immigrants rather than large “lumps”, as the larger the “lumps”, the easier it is to remain immersed in—and so retain—one’s original cultural patterns. The smaller the groups, the less immersed in one’s original cultural patterns, the more adaptation to the local civic culture there is likely to be.
    • I’ve been consistently guilty of ignoring culture and focusing on economics in the past, but I found this essay a timely reminder again of what we are seemingly failing to understand in the UK, among most of our elite, anyway.
    • Right now in the UK we’re seeing a battle between and indeed within the political parties over these points. In a way there’s a refreshing clarity to the Reform and Green Party positions vs that of the Liberal Democrats and Labour parties. The Conservatives are potentially more interesting now, but given they presided over 14 years of high immigration and the Boriswave, I’m not surprised they’re getting short shrift from the public.

    https://thecritic.co.uk/the-pathologies-of-outdated-ideologies/

    • Funnily enough, this ties quite well into the first link. Consider the following (which I know has been said many times elsewhere):
      > It’s not hyperbole to say that the entire rise of what is termed “right-wing populism” by its opponents stems from the unwillingness of mainstream political parties to control immigration.
    • Personal favourite point in the essay was talking about the Ottoman Empire vs the Mamluk rulers, as I have loosely described the UK as the late Ottoman Empire, with no ability to reform, as every stakeholder has an incentive to keep the same rotten system standing.
    • My concern is at the end of the piece, when the author talks about their confidence in our system reforming. Maybe, and given the polls it seems that the UK’s mainstream parties are headed for a wipeout, but I’m not convinced that I’ve seen enough to be confident in major reforms.

    https://newsletter.sarahhaider.com/p/motherhood-is-not-rational?hide_intro_popup=true

    • Something quite different to the prior two links here. Probably no surprise that it’s something I find interesting, given the article’s emphasis on economic incentives (or lack of them) for motherhood.
    • It’s a US-focused view, but I think there are obviously profound read-across areas for the UK:
      • Employment policy: The UK should consider much stronger hiring incentives, including tax credits to the company for two years, and more controversially, a potential relaxation (if the woman agrees to it) of employment rights, e.g. protection and wage. Remember, companies are assessing the downside risk of hiring a new person. Someone with up to two years out is almost certainly a greater risk than someone with recent employment history. My view is that it is better to be back in work asap, and use that to move onwards and upwards. Of course, you need a hot labour market, which is contrary to the UK’s de facto position.
      • Recognising biology is real: Look, this is incredibly uncomfortable to discuss, given I’m a man. But it is the case that women are primary child rearers for a reason, and we should recognise this, with much higher income or tax relief for new parents. Furthermore, we also need to increasingly highlight that there are serious costs to delaying pregnancy for women (and their partners!).
    • I’m sure that a lot of the above is going to be incredibly unpopular with a lot of the UK’s commentariat, who appear unable to consider second order effects, especially for “noble” causes. I’m also very aware that a great part of this is the problem around men and marriage too – once I find a good piece (or re-find), I will write on it.

  • Local government strangled, The Chagos Islands debacle, and how to pay for public goods

    I’m trying to get into a better posting cadence, after having been way too sidetracked by my UK foreign policy piece. Usual interesting links below:

    • The destruction of local governments’ freedom: https://taxpayersalliance.com/content/files/2026/02/The-statutory-spending-straitjacket.pdf
      • A great piece that shows the sheer extent of the central government’s control over local government through statutory requirements, primarily around adult social care and other provisions. This leads to multiple problems, but the most cogent is that we have completely divorced price from inputs. Central government can pile ever more requirements on the local government (what’s left of it), but there is no pushback or filter. Nor is there any real linked support from the central government for these policies.
      • It’s a bad situation, and it can only get worse. Local government is completely swallowed up by the central government diktats, with ever less space to manoeuvre and do what it should do – improve its area. Given voters’ unhappiness with the state of the UK, this is going to have to be changed. Either remove these requirements, or link them to central funding/taxation, so we as a society are aware of these costs. But so far that seems unlikely.
    • A response to the Ben Judah post on The Chagos Islands:https://open.substack.com/pub/rosskempsell/p/ben-judah-on-chagos-a-response?r=22u0c&utm_medium=ios
      • I’m glad that Judah wrote in The Times about the Chagos Islands, even if I thought it was mostly wrong and based on fundamentally wrong assumptions. This post was a good riposte to that in turn, but credit to Judah for actually articulating the case.
      • I feel this ties into my longer form UK foreign policy piece – we have too many in our government and civil service who have no idea of how to manage the era of great power competition, and that an over-reliance on international law is dangerous for the national interest
    • How to pay for public goods: https://substack.com/home/post/p-189739107
      • A short but good piece, going into detail about the eight ways to go about public spending schemes in the UK, with their advantages and drawbacks
      • I’m starting to think about our current setup in the UK, and how two of the schemes with the biggest issues, and crucially the most support, are both universal: the NHS and the triple lock. Gut says there is no way to ever fundamentally make these _not_universal, but we have to change these drastically for our future prosperity. Some more thoughts to come.
  • The UK becoming ungovernable, the 1947 TCPA, and rethinking Britain for the majority

    Been awhile since I posted, mostly due to contracting a near fatal case of the plague. Luckily, I survived and managed to have some Christmas chocolate, recommended by most doctors.

    Anyway, without further ado, here are some things I found interesting over the break:

    • How the UK became ungovernable:https://overcast.fm/+ABOJ-83RV-I
    • I absolutely loved Talking Politics with Helen Thompson and David Runciman, for my money it was the best current affairs / political podcast around. So having these two back with Galen Druke was an absolute treat, even if the content was unsurprisingly depressing. A couple of things to note:
      • It was notable how scathing both HT and DR were of Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves as politicians, not just as individuals but as their complete inability to communicate what they believe in, and their refusal to tell the truth. Remarkable considering we lived through Boris Johnson, but in my mind everyone knew he was a clown – we got Labour in as they were the “grownups”, and instead we got the sanctimonious liars.
      • Energy was the key highlight, unsurprising given HT book_Disorder_. Until the British political class reckon with the energy straightjacket we have self-imposed through net zero I expect further turbulence.
      • The absolute hope of Labour on areas like AI, of which we have no real control over, and actively take measures to reduce control, through AI safety regulation and critically through energy prices
      • A lot more, including on Europe, the USA, and China – definitely worth a listen
    • A fantastic deep dive into the 1947 TCPA: https://open.substack.com/pub/danlewis8/p/dissecting-the-1947-town-and-country?r=22u0c&utm_medium=ios
      • For the love of god, abolishing this and moving to a zoning system like Japan, or even devolving it to the regions, has to be the key priority, along with reforming the net zero act for any party serious about economic policy
      • It’s quite staggering how immensely damaging this policy has been. I would argue it was less of an issue with councils able to build social housing, and low levels of immigration or even emigration in the UK. Still doesn’t make this policy any better.
    • Rethinking Britain for the 98%: https://substack.com/@edrith/note/p-181658437?r=22u0c&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
      • This is a great look into a part of that fairness disease I talked about in my UK overview post – the fact that we can’t ever negatively punish disruptive groups as the final result isn’t fair. This naturally leads to greater costs being incurred by the majority of society
      • I have some vague ideas for a post about this but again, for politicians at the back, if you make life clearly harder for the majority of people, with a minority of absolute winners (who clearly do not share the same norms and views as the majority), do not be surprised when politics appears more febrile than ever
      • The first party (perhaps already Reform, maybe some signs of the conservatives finally getting this) to decisively back the majority and is prepared to weather the pushback from removing advantages to these minority groups will become the dominant party of the UK. The pushback will be extremely loud, but ultimately it will come from a narrow electoral base